richfish

AIs can reason

March 16, 2026 · AI

I don't trust the predictions that software developers will be obsolete. The culture of Silicon Valley encourages this kind of chest thumping. On the other hand, the predictions for PCs and the web, the big things of my career in tech, were similarly bombastic, but they were wrong. The web was huge, just not in the ways people thought it would be.

This matches my own thoughts as well. The people closest to the tech have historically been very bad at predicting its impact and adoption.

While software development has undoubtedly been changed forever I don't see it going away.